Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30

Data Skrive

Corbin Carroll and the Arizona Diamondbacks will try to find success against Kodai Senga when he starts for the New York Mets on Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The favored Diamondbacks have -112 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mets, who are listed at -104. Arizona is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game’s total has been listed at 8 runs.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and ARID

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Diamondbacks -112 -104 8 -110 -110 -1.5 +146 -178

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 4, Diamondbacks 3
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 57%, Mets 43%

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Betting Insights

The Diamondbacks have won 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
Arizona has a record of 11-10, a 52.4% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by bookmakers this season.
The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
The Mets have come away with four wins in the seven contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, New York has won three of six games when listed as at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51% chance of walking away with the win.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 1-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Diamondbacks combined with their opponents to go over the run total eight times.
The Diamondbacks have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 3-7 Runs Per Game 4.9 HR 14 ERA 5.32 K/9 8.1

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with 23 runs batted in.
Including all MLB hitters, Carroll is 21st in batting average, 41st in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
Geraldo Perdomo is batting .260 with five doubles, four home runs and 21 walks.
Perdomo is 66th in homers and 15th in RBI on the season.
Perdomo carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
Josh Naylor is batting .318 with eight doubles, four home runs and 13 walks.
Eugenio Suarez’s 10 home runs lead his team.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs twice and won both contests.
The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Mets have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 8-2 Runs Per Game 6.4 HR 14 ERA 3.02 K/9 9

Mets Player Insights

Pete Alonso paces the Mets with seven home runs and 28 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .346.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Alonso’s home run total is 17th and his RBI tally ranks second.
Alonso takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a home run, six walks and two RBI.
Francisco Lindor has four doubles, six home runs and eight walks while batting .302.
Lindor is currently 29th in home runs and 43rd in RBI in the big leagues.
Juan Soto is batting .250 with seven doubles, three home runs and 22 walks.
Brandon Nimmo is hitting .218 with four doubles, six home runs and seven walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U Pete Alonso 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+120) – 0.5 (+120) Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) – 0.5 (+210) Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-135) – 0.5 (+265) Mark Vientos 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-165) – 0.5 (+165) Luisangel Acuna 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-155) – 0.5 (+310)

Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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