The last weekend of March is busy with rain moving in for this evening. None of this activity will be severe. Instead, it’s just plain old spring showers moving through. The coverage will be scattered through the evening, peaking near 60% coverage around Midnight.

Sunday morning will have the continued light shower activity before some dry time is expected ahead of the spring severe storm potential for Sunday afternoon and evening. This upcoming storm is a classic spring storm. For late March standards, we’ll be warm with modest moisture levels in the atmosphere. The activity will occur ahead of a cold front passage that will usher in colder air for Monday. Central Indiana has been placed at a level 3 of 5 Enhanced Risk for severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center. Regardless of severe risk category, all Hoosiers around will need to prepare and be weather-ready in case a warning gets issued.

In terms of timing, storms look to move west to east starting mid-afternoon and going through the evening. Peak coverage around 70-80% of central Indiana by 6-7 p.m. Sunday with an organized line of storms. For severe threats, all modes of severe weather are in play with a higher damaging wind and hail threat. However, some isolated tornadoes are also possible especially south of Indianapolis. The “hatched” areas on the map below show a significantly higher potential for those hazards.

Winds are often an underrated threat but can do as much damage as tornadoes. We’ve seen that on several occasions with severe weather. That’s been the case in several hometowns earlier this month! We anticipate some storms could see 60-70+ mph winds as the storms threat. We’ll be tracking the storms as they move in and we’ll go on-the-air if any tornado warnings get issued Sunday.

After that, the cold front will send our temperatures plummeting for Monday with highs struggling to even hit 50°. Remember how Indianapolis had a high of 81° Friday? Gotta love those wild temperature swings!

April opens Tuesday with a seasonably cooler day and no rain. Tuesday will be the only day with no rain in the forecast this next week. The active jet stream will provide several opportunities for showers. After we get through Sunday, the next day to keep an eye on is Wednesday with showers and storms that could come with a severe potential. Stay tuned!

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