WLWT News 5 TODAY Meteorologist
Alert Day: Severe storms bring threat for damaging winds, tornadoes, hail
WHEN WE TALK ABOUT WHETHER IT IS TIME TO GET PREPARED. HAVE A PLAN. KNOW WHERE YOUR EMERGENCY KIT IS. KNOW WHERE EVERYTHING IS AT YOUR HOUSE. IT’S RAIN, BUT WE ALSO HAVE TO START THAT WITH STORMS THIS EVENING. RIGHT? SO WE’RE GOING TO HAVE ANOTHER LOUD NIGHT TONIGHT AFTER THE SUN GOES DOWN, OUR STORM THREAT GOES UP. THAT’S THE LINE MOVING IN. AND THEN IT’S GOING TO STALL OUT AND PARK OVERHEAD. NOW THAT DOESN’T MEAN SEVERE WEATHER FOR DAYS, BUT IT DOES MEAN ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN. WE’RE LOOKING AT MOST PLACES PROBABLY A HALF A FOOT OF RAINFALL. BY THE TIME WE GET TO SUNDAY. SO RIGHT. IF I SAID THAT AMOUNT OF SNOW, THAT WOULD CAUSE A LOT OF JAWS TO DROP. WHEN YOU SEE THAT AMOUNT OF RAIN, THAT’S NOT SOMETHING WE SEE AROUND HERE. IN FACT, IF WE GET OVER 6.5IN OF RAIN, IT WOULD PROBABLY BE TOP TEN ALL TIME FOR A FIVE DAY STRETCH. AS WE TAKE A LOOK AT THE WEATHER ALERT DAY FOR TODAY, WHAT WE’RE EXPECTING OUR SEVERE STORMS. THEY WOULD BE LATE EVENING, FIRST PART OF THE OVERNIGHT, AND THEN WE TRANSITION INTO THE START OF AN EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT THAT WILL LAST THROUGH SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNING WHEN, WELL, STORMS WILL START. I’M SAYING 7 A.M. OR 7 P.M. TO GIVE YOU A LITTLE LEAD TIME THERE, PROBABLY BETWEEN 7 AND 9:00 FOR THE STORMS TO START TO MOVE INTO OUR AREA. THE STORM THREAT WITH US PROBABLY THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT OR 1 A.M., AND THEN WE TRANSITION INTO NOT SEVERE WEATHER, BUT INTENSE RAINFALL AND A FLASH FLOODING THREAT. SO THE IMPACTS ARE GOING TO BE MUCH LIKE SUNDAY. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER ARE POSSIBLE. WIND DAMAGE IS LIKELY. COULD SEE SOME TORNADOES IN OUR REGION. AND WITH THE AGGRESSIVE RAINFALL THAT’S COMING, FLOODING IS GOING TO BE A CONCERN FOR EVERYBODY. AS WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND. RIGHT NOW, EVERYTHING’S PRETTY QUIET. YOU CAN SEE THERE ARE A COUPLE OF SHOWERS TRYING TO MAKE THEIR WAY INTO PORTIONS OF FAYETTE COUNTY, JUST NORTH OF CONNERSVILLE. LIGHT SPRINKLE PASSING BY. AND AS WE GO THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS, OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES DO HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR A PASSING SHOWER. BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN AND STORMS, OF COURSE KICK IN TONIGHT AND SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK CONCERNS THOSE STORMS ALONG THE SYSTEM THAT WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY TOWARD US TODAY. SO THE BULL’S EYE FOR BAD WEATHER REALLY GOES FROM PADUCAH DOWN TOWARD MEMPHIS. IN OUR AREA, WE ARE UNDER AN ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THAT’S THE THREE OUT OF FIVE. AND AGAIN, WE’LL BE WATCHING THOSE MOVE IN BETWEEN ABOUT SEVEN AND 9:00 FOR THE START TIME FOR OUR AREA. WIND DAMAGE IS OUR PRIMARY CONCERN, BUT TORNADOES ARE A POSSIBILITY. YOU SEE THE YELLOW TONE HERE THAT INDICATES ABOUT A 10% CHANCE OF SEEING A TORNADO WITHIN 25 MILES OF ANY LOCATION YOU HAPPEN TO BE IN. IN GREATER CINCINNATI, EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AS FAR MORE LIKELY FOR US, FOR EVERYBODY AS WE GET INTO THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THAT FRONT BASICALLY PARKS ITSELF ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER, AND ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE MOVING THROUGH. SO LET’S GET TO IT. HERE’S FUTURECAST PICKING UP ON THAT CHANCE FOR A SPOTTY SHOWER. MAYBE A STRAY RUMBLE OF THUNDER KIND OF MID-MORNING. SEVEN EIGHT, 9:00. COULD SEE A PASSING SHOWER AND IT’S LONG GONE BY LUNCHTIME. VERY WINDY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 40, MAYBE EVEN 50MPH AND TEMPERATURES THAT WILL CLIMB QUICKLY TO THE UPPER 70S. SO IT’S GOING TO BE A VERY WARM, VERY WINDY AFTERNOON. THEY’LL GET THE REDS GAME IN JUST FINE. YOU CAN SEE 630 TONIGHT. FUTURECAST SHOWING IT’S DRY. THAT WOULD BE GOOD. ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT WOULD POP UP OUT AHEAD OF THAT MAIN LINE WOULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO ROTATE. MOST MODELS THIS MORNING ARE KIND OF SHOWING EVERYTHING, HOLDING OFF UNTIL 8 OR 9:00. SO THAT WOULD BE ONE SOLID LINE OF STORMS WITH STRONG WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME EMBEDDED TORNADOES. NOTICE THE TIMELINE KIND OF BRINGS IT IN THROUGH CINCINNATI BY ABOUT MIDNIGHT OR 1 A.M., AND THEN WE TRANSITION FROM SEVERE WEATHER TO INTENSE RAINFALL. THAT WILL BE WITH US EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THERE’LL BE A LITTLE BREATHER FOR US KIND OF LATE MORNING TOMORROW. AND THEN THE RAIN PICKS RIGHT BACK UP AGAIN LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AND THIS IS A PATTERN THAT WILL PERSIST FOR US ALL THE WAY THROUGH LUNCHTIME ON SUNDAY, WHICH IS HOW WE’RE GOING TO END UP WITH THESE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS. RIGHT NOW, PROJECTIONS ARE FOR MOST OF GREATER CINCINNATI TO AVERAGE 5 TO 8IN OF RAINFALL BETWEEN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AT NOON, THOUGH, THERE COULD BE SOME SPOTS THAT GET 6 TO 10, ESPECIALLY A LITTLE BIT FURTHER DOWN ALONG THE OHIO RIVER AS YOU HEAD ALONG 71 TOWARD LOUISVILLE. SO THIS IS GOING TO CAUSE FLOODING CONCERNS OFF AND ON. HEAVY RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. OBVIOUSLY FLOOD PRONE BASEMENTS, BUT WATCH ROADS, EVEN ONES THAT DON’T TYPICALLY HOLD WATER. WE COULD HAVE AREAS OF HIGH WATER, SMALLER RIVERS, THE GREAT MIAMI, THE LITTLE MIAMI. THOSE WILL JUMP UP TO FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, AND THE OHIO RIVER HAS THE POTENTIAL TO HIT MINOR OR MODERATE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. SO A LOT TO COVER HERE. SEVEN DAY FORECAST SHOWING TODAY AND TOMORROW AS WEATHER ALERT DAYS BECAUSE OF TONIGHT’S SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THAT TRANSITIONS INTO THE START OF OUR INTENSE RAIN TOMORROW AND FLOOD THREAT. AND THE RAIN CONTINUES FOR US ALL THE WAY UP IN THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVY RAIN ENDS BY NOON. MOST SPOTS 5 TO 8IN. SOME SPOTS COULD HAVE TEN INCHES OF RAIN AND IT’S A COLD FRONT. ONCE IT DROPS THROUGH, OUR TEMPERATURES FALL OFF INTO THE 30
Wednesday is a Weather Alert Day as we prepare for another night of strong storms.LIVE RADAR // LATEST WEATHER ALERTS // HOUR BY HOURA Flood Watch is in effect Wednesday-Sunday. We’ve got a warm and windy Wednesday. As the warm air moves in there will be a few pockets of rain. Those are gone by late morning. The afternoon will be warm and mostly dry! Highs head into the mid-upper 70s through the afternoon. Winds will be strong, steady around 20 mph and gusts 30-40 mph. Getting windy ahead of this major storm.The main area of concern is late Wednesday evening as a line of storms moves in generally from the west and pushing east after 10 p.m. This brings the threat for all severe weather hazards: strong wind around 60-75 mph, tornadoes, hail and heavy rain. There is potential for some storms to develop between sunset and 9 p.m., and if that happens, those storms could bring the highest tornado threat.This system stalls out overhead and that then acts as a conveyor belt for rounds of heavy rain to come and go for the rest of the week. This leads to several inches of rain piling up and creating flooding concerns. By Thursday morning, 2-3 inches of rain will have fallen in some communities, which leads to a flash flooding potential.Totals will be around 5-8+ inches. The heaviest rain bands could also come overnight, which brings an extra layer of concern. If you live in a flood-prone area, pay extra attention to flood alerts. If your basement typically floods, this will be another week of checking on the sump pump. Areas roads could be covered in standing water. Widespread flooding issues will be likely for the Ohio Valley. We gradually dry out Sunday evening and Monday.
Wednesday is a Weather Alert Day as we prepare for another night of strong storms.
LIVE RADAR // LATEST WEATHER ALERTS // HOUR BY HOUR
A Flood Watch is in effect Wednesday-Sunday.
We’ve got a warm and windy Wednesday. As the warm air moves in there will be a few pockets of rain. Those are gone by late morning.
The afternoon will be warm and mostly dry! Highs head into the mid-upper 70s through the afternoon. Winds will be strong, steady around 20 mph and gusts 30-40 mph. Getting windy ahead of this major storm.
The main area of concern is late Wednesday evening as a line of storms moves in generally from the west and pushing east after 10 p.m. This brings the threat for all severe weather hazards: strong wind around 60-75 mph, tornadoes, hail and heavy rain. There is potential for some storms to develop between sunset and 9 p.m., and if that happens, those storms could bring the highest tornado threat.
This system stalls out overhead and that then acts as a conveyor belt for rounds of heavy rain to come and go for the rest of the week. This leads to several inches of rain piling up and creating flooding concerns. By Thursday morning, 2-3 inches of rain will have fallen in some communities, which leads to a flash flooding potential.
Totals will be around 5-8+ inches. The heaviest rain bands could also come overnight, which brings an extra layer of concern. If you live in a flood-prone area, pay extra attention to flood alerts. If your basement typically floods, this will be another week of checking on the sump pump. Areas roads could be covered in standing water. Widespread flooding issues will be likely for the Ohio Valley. We gradually dry out Sunday evening and Monday.
