Trump to show his hand on tariffs

Republicans on Wednesday were working through their mixed bag of election outcomes in Wisconsin and Florida.

The GOP held onto two Florida House seats, albeit by much smaller margins than in those districts five months ago, giving Republicans wiggle room for the razor-thin majority in the House.

But in Wisconsin, which President Trump narrowly won in the 2024 election, liberal Supreme Court candidate Susan Crawford trounced conservative Brad Schimel by 10 points, despite a heavy play by Trump and his allies who saw the election as an opportunity to shift the state’s high court from its liberal tilt toward their favor.

The outcome is seen as a major blow to Trump and tech billionaire Elon Musk, both of whom had endorsed Schimel.

Musk, a key ally of Trump who poured millions into supporting Schimel and traveled to Wisconsin to rally voters, had warned that the race “might decide the future of America and Western civilization,” but he downplayed the outcome Wednesday.

“I expected to lose, but there is value to losing a piece for a positional gain,” Musk wrote on X, the social media platform he owns.

The Hill’s Julia Manchester and Caroline Vakil have outlined the major themes that emerged from election night.

On Wisconsin: 

“The election offers a warning sign for Republicans that Musk could be politically toxic in other key elections. Democratic candidates running in elections later this November and next year have already started to hammer Musk in their messaging.”

Deep down in Florida:

Florida state official Jimmy Patronis won the special election to replace former Rep. Matt Gaetz in the House, while Florida state Sen. Randy Fine won the special election to replace Trump national security adviser Mike Waltz.

“Despite the fact Republicans turned out in Florida and ultimately nabbed wins, the party still underperformed in both special House elections.”

The wins in Florida will boost the GOP’s slim majority in the House to 220, with 213 Democratic members and two vacancies in left-leaning districts. That gives GOP leaders a comfortable enough lead to cover for a few Republican defectors and still advance Trump’s agenda.

House leadership canceled votes for the rest of this week after some Republican members joined Democrats to bring proceedings to a halt Tuesday in a dispute over allowing new parents to vote remotely.

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