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The No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors will visit the No. 2 seed Houston Rockets for Game 1 of the first-round series in the 2025 NBA playoffs on Sunday. The Rockets are in the NBA playoff bracket for the first time since the 2020 season. The Warriors were able to lock down a spot in the playoffs after a 121-116 win over the Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA Play-In Tournament. In the last contest between these teams, Houston defeated Golden State, 106-96, on April 6.
Tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET from the Toyota Center in Houston. Houston is a 1-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Rockets odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points is 212. Golden State is the -110 favorite in the race to 10 points. Before locking in any Rockets vs. Warriors picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-115 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Warriors vs. Rockets 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Warriors vs. Rockets:
- Warriors vs. Rockets spread: Houston -1 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Warriors vs. Rockets over/under: 212 points
- Warriors vs. Rockets money line: Houston -118, Golden State -102
- GS: Warriors are 41-39-3 against the spread this season
- HOU: Rockets are 43-38-1 against the spread this season
- Warriors vs. Rockets picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Warriors vs. Rockets streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Rockets can cover
Guard Jalen Green is an athletic shot creator with the ball-handling skills to create space. This season, he logged 21 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per game. The 23-year-old has scored more than 20 points in three of the past six games. In the April 6 game against the Warriors, Green finished with 21 points, five assists, two steals, and made three 3-pointers.
Center Alperen Sengun provides this unit with an impactful presence in the frontcourt as a scorer, rebounder, and playmaker. He averaged 19.1 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game. Sengun posted a career-high 45 double-doubles this season. In his last contest against the Warriors, Sengun stuffed the stat sheet with 19 points and 14 boards. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Warriors can cover
Guard Stephen Curry will always give teams fits due to his sharpshooting and lightning-quick release from beyond the arc. Curry averages 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.0 assists per game. He also made 39.7% of his 3-pointers on 11 attempts per game. In the play-in win over the Grizzlies, Curry had 37 points, eight rebounds, four assists, and went 6-of-13 from beyond the arc.
Forward Jimmy Butler came over at the deadline and gave them a two-way threat. Butler put up 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per contest. The 35-year-old has supplied 28-plus points in four consecutive games. In his previous outing, Butler racked up 38 points, seven rebounds, and six assists. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Warriors vs. Rockets picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Warriors vs. Rockets and is leaning Over the total, projecting 217 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Warriors vs. Rockets, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Rockets spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
